A new Rasmussen poll of Likely Voters found that 57% believe President Biden is doing a poor job of managing the economy. Only 27% of Likely Voters rated him good or excellent on handling the economy, down from 32% in December.
Meanwhile, President Biden’s overall job approval rating has just slipped to below 40% for the first time since he took office, according to the latest MORNING CONSULT/POLITICO poll shown below. This poll found his overall job approval rating down to 39% for the first time. Other polls show him even lower, including Quinnipiac which has him at a dismal 35%.
A whopping 80% of GOP voters “strongly disapprove” of Biden’s job handling, compared with only 37% of Democrats who “strongly approve” of it.
Rasmussen’s latest poll of the Direction of the Country has continued to worsen for the president as well, with only 24% saying the country is headed in the ‘right direction,’ while 70% say we’re on the ‘wrong track.’
Other polls continue to show Americans’ number one concern today is inflation, with record high prices at the gas pump and soaring costs for food at the grocery store. Biden has blamed Russian President Vladimir Putin and major oil companies for the historic high price of gasoline.
Yet Americans aren’t buying it. Only 29% of voters think oil companies bear the most responsibility for rising fuel costs, and just 11% say Putin is mainly to blame. Here, too, a majority, 52%, believe Biden’s energy policies are most responsible for today’s record high gas prices.
Biden’s diminishing approval ratings are alarming to Democrats working to hold control of Congress in the midterm elections this fall. Most polls show the Dems will take a shellacking in the November elections, almost certainly losing their control of the House and possibly the Senate as well.
The 2022 midterm elections are now less than five months away, and Republicans have a five-point lead in the so-called “Generic Ballot” in their bid to recapture control of Congress. According to this metric, if the elections for Congress were held today, 46% of Likely US Voters would vote for the Republican candidate, while 41% would vote for the Democrat.
The Republicans should not take this Generic Ballot lead for granted; it has shrunk over the last week or so. While the GOP has led the Generic Ballot all year, that lead was at 48%-39% just over a week ago.
The Republican lead on the Generic Ballot is mainly due to a 14-point advantage among Independents. Partisan intensity is nearly equal, as 87% of Republican voters say they would vote for their own party’s congressional candidate, while 84% of Democrats would vote for the Democratic candidate. Among voters not affiliated with either major party, however, 42% would vote Republican and 28% would vote Democrat, while 10% would vote for some other candidate and 20% are undecided.
Here are a few other stats from Rasmussen’s latest surveys you might find interesting. Fifty-two percent (52%) of whites, 21% of black voters and 44% of other minorities would vote Republican if the election were held today. Thirty-seven percent (37%) of whites, 62% of black voters and 40% of other minorities would vote Democrat.
The so-called “gender gap” has widened in the latest findings, with men (50%) now eight points more likely than women voters (42%) to prefer Republican congressional candidates. The gap was only three points last week. This is a good sign for Republicans, but it can change quickly.
Voters under age 40 favor Democrats by a margin of 49% to 35%, but 50% of voters ages 40-64 and 55% of those 65 and older would vote Republican if the election were held today.
And here’s a final stat which may be the most significant. Breaking down the electorate by income brackets, Republicans enjoy their largest advantage – 50% to 40% – among voters earning between $50,000 and $100,000 a year. Democrats now lead 48% to 38% among those with annual incomes over $200,000.
This is a huge shift! It used to be the Democrats were the party of the blue-collar working class. But those constituents are leaving the party in droves. Now the Democrat Party is dominated by coastal elites who lean highly liberal. At the same time, Latinos who were always reliably Democrat are increasingly moving to the GOP. Again, these are huge shifts!
Some respected pollsters now predict the biggest landslide in history for the Republicans in the House of Representatives this fall. Some predict the Republicans could pick up 65-70 seats in the House. And most pollsters believe the GOP will win back the Senate as well.
In any event, it should be one of the most interesting mid-term elections in a long time.
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