Category Archives: 2012 Elections

Analysis of the Second Debate and New Poll Numbers

President Obama had a strong debate performance last night. He had to and all of his advisers knew he had to. He came through in true fashion (and without a teleprompter). Obama’s strong performance shouldn’t have surprised anyone. We all knew he was capable. And he delivered. But Governor Romney also delivered another very solid…

Another Questionable Jobs Report & the VP Debate

For the second time in a week, a government unemployment report was highly questionable for reasons that were not entirely clear upon its release. Yesterday’s “initial claims” report showed that only 339,000 people applied for unemployment benefits in the week ended October 6. The pre-report consensus had the number at 370,000-375,000, up from 369,000 the…

The Tide Turns Big For Romney, At Least For Now

Mitt Romney’s decisive debate victory has changed the direction of the presidential race. The unthinkable has happened – the president lost and lost badly – and Romney has moved ahead in most polls and is closing rapidly where he needs to. Before the debate, I questioned whether President Obama really had an “A-Game” when it…

Can Romney Define Himself in First Debate?

Welcome to another Wednesday political edition. This week we want to take a look at the ‘sudden’ narrowing of major polls, where the battleground state polls stand and of course handicap the first of three presidential debates set to air tonight. That’s a lot to cover so let’s get to it. The RealClearPolitics average of…

How the Presidential Polls are Skewed

One week from today is the first presidential debate. The first debate will be in Denver at 9:00-10:30 Eastern Time, and will be aired on all the major networks. Both sides are trying to downplay expectations for their candidate, while trying to elevate expectations for the opponent. Nothing new there. Today we will look at…